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Help me to choose a broker -- Oanda, FXCM, forex.com, FXDD
Hi all, I posted this thread on a Forex forum, I re-post it here hoping to get more advice. I live in China, and I'm a newbie to Forex trading. I plan to deposit 5,000 USD to experiment Forex trading after I get used to the demo account. After I'm OK with 5K USD, I may invest not less than 10K. I'm struggling to choose a broker, here are my criteria, 1, Allow hedging. I'm 100% wanting this. Indeed I'm not going to hedge the same amount of money at the same time to earn quick money (which is often used in big news event). What I want to do is, I have a long term position which will be there for several weeks, then I do some short term positions (intraday or several days). That's possible that I have two positions in two directions at the same time. 2, Money safety. During my Googling, I found that some brokers close a trader's account just because he/she earns too much money. 3, 100:1 leverage. 50:1 is not too bad but 100:1 gives me more flexibility. 4, Prefer to NDD (ECN or STP), but DD and MM is acceptable if money safety is guaranteed. 5, Regulates with NFA or FCA. 6, Support depositing using credit card. This is cheapest way for me, at least cheaper than wire transfer. 7, Easy to open an account. I prefer to open an account via internet only so I don't need post a lot of certifications to the broker. The other points except 1 are tolerant, but I really want point 1 and I think it will be important to me. Now comes to the brokers I've done some research on. I've checked a little with Oanda, FXCM, forex.com, and FXDD. Oanda, the most money safety one. 50 leverage. However, it doesn't allow hedging. All other brokers in my list are not as same money safety as Oanda. FXCM, the one that's really annoying me is the margin. Why margin for a lot of EURUSD is $750? That's really weird and is not connected to the real price. Can any one explain to me? Forex.com, as big as FXCM, but in the event that ECB put down the interest to 0.25% at Nov.7 this year, a lot of Chinese traders get network error and lost money. That scared me. FXDD, not as old as Oanda, and not as big as FXCM and Forex.com, and registered in Malta... So, what's your advice of a proper broker for me? The one not on my list is OK too. Thanks EDIT: another disadvantage of Oanda is that they have 6 candles a week, but it's a trivial problem since I can use other broker's MT4 for technical analysis.
Forex là một kênh giao dịch ngoại hối thu hút sự quan tâm của rất nhiều các nhà đầu tư hiện nay. Nhưng trước khi đầu tư, chắc hẳn ai cũng thắc mắcđầu tư forex có hợp phápkhông ? Bài viết này sẽ đi sâu tìm hiểu vấn đề này để cho người đọc cái nhìn khách quan nhất. Forex là gì? Forex – Foreign Exchange là quá trình trao đổi ngoại tệ / ngoại hối, và là thị trường tài chính lớn nhất thế giới, với số lượng tiền giao dịch mỗi ngày lên dến 1.95 nghìn tỉ USD ( 2006 ) và năm 2013 là khoảng 4,000 tỷ USD ( 3,98 trillion USD, theo thống kê từ năm 2013). Các sàn giao dịch Forex thường có trụ sở chính tại nước ngoài, như Sàn Forex.com Uk tại Anh quốc, FXDD ở Mỹ, FXpro ở châu Âu. Các sàn forex này có được đăng ký kinh doanh hợp pháp tại các cơ quan ở nước sở tại, do đó sàn đảm bảo không thực hiện các hành vi gian lận, qua mặt khách hàng. Những sàn giao dịch này có thể giao dịch đối xứng, tương tác với khách hàng. Đầu tư Forex có hợp pháp không ? Các ngân hàng thương mại Việt Nam hiện nay hạn chế việc chuyển tiền ra nước ngoài. Pháp lệnh ngoại hối Việt Nam có quy định cấm các cá nhân giao dịch ngoại hối (có hiệu lực từ tháng 3/2010) nhưng chỉ cấm trên lãnh thổ Việt Nam. Trong khi các sàn giao dịch forex trụ sở chính là ở nước ngoài, môi giới cũng ở nước ngoài, họ có đăng ký kinh doanh và đã đạt tiêu chuẩn bắt buộc của các sở giao dịch, hoạt động ngoại hối ở nước sở tại. Thực tế cho thấy các sàn forex phải tuần thủ theo đúng luật nên mới có thể hoạt động hàng chục năm. Nếu các nhà đầu tư quyết định đầu tư vào forex suy cho cùng cũng không phải bất hợp pháp bởi các cá nhân đó không tự động thực hiện giao dịch ngoại hối chuyển tiền ra nước ngoài mà thông qua một sàn giao dịch đã được đăng kí hợp pháp tại nước sở tại. Điều này hoàn toàn không trái với pháp luật Việt Nam. Thực tế cho thấy ở Việt Nam đúng là các nhà chức trách và pháp luật chưa cho phép, thừa nhận hình thức đầu tư forex. Các sàn forex, các công ty mở ra cho các nhà đầu tư mở tài khoản giao dịch forex cũng là mở theo đường tiểu ngạch, không chính thức đăng kí kinh doanh. Tuy nhiên, nếu xét về luật thì ta thấy không có luật nào của Việt Nam cấm việc đầu tư vào forex, chính vì thế nên các công ty này vẫn tồn tại. Bằng chứng cho thấy ở miền bắc nước ta hiện nay có khoảng 40 sàn vàng và sàn giao dịch forex vẫn hoạt động. Ở Cần Thơ gần đây cũng đã xuất hiện các sàn giao dịch này. Xét về bản chất thì đây là một kênh đầu tư rất tốt, một sàn giao dịch tốt cho các nhà đầu tư và nó hoàn toàn hợp pháp ở các nước trên thế giới hiện nay, tuy nhiên, đối với Việt Nam thì nhà nước vẫn chưa cho phép nhưng cũng không cấm. Nói cách khác, đầu tư forex không phải là một hoạt động bất hợp pháp, mà đầu tư forex có hợp pháp, vì thế nếu muốn, các bạn hoàn toàn vẫn có thể đầu tư. Như vậy, trên đây là các quan điểm cũng như các phân tích để đưa ra kết luận đầu tư forex có hợp pháp hay không.
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After 9 months of obsession, here is my open source Node.js framework for backtesting forex trading strategies
TL;DR There's lots more to the story. But the code is all open source now. Have at it. I'm too exhausted to continue with this. If you'd like more details, feel free to message me. If you happen to carry on with this project or use any ideas from it, I would greatly appreciate it if you could keep in touch on your findings. If anyone has any insights, please feel free to comment or message me. I've spent the last nine months working furiously on this. I started a project for backtesting strategies against data I exported from MetaTrader. I had a very powerful computer crunching numbers constantly, trying to find the most optimal configuration of strategy indicator inputs that would results in the highest win rate and profit possible. Eventually, after talking with a data scientist, I realized my backtesting optimizer was suffering from something called overfitting. He then recommend using the k-fold cross-validation technique. So, I modified things (in the "k-fold" forex-backtesting branch), and in fact it provided very optimistic results when backtested against MetaTrader data (60 - 70% win rate for 3 years). However, I had collected 3 months of data from a trading site (by intercepting their Web Socket data), and when I performed validation tests against that data using the k-fold results created from the MetaTrader data, I only got a ~57% win rate or so. In order to break even with Binary Options trading, you need at least a 58% win rate. So in short, the k-fold optimization results produce a good result when validation tested against data exported from MetaTrader, but they do not produce a good result when validation tested against the trading site's data. I have two theories on why this ended up not working with the trading site's data:
The trading site I collected data from uses Reuters data. The prices in the MetaTrader data I used are different from the prices in the the trading site's data. Basically the the trading site's data is offset and is slightly higher than the MetaTrader data (and there may be other differences). I suspect that the k-fold optimization may have produced a predictor that is tailored to the data exported from MetaTrader (data available here), but it does not work as well on the the trading site's data.
The script I used to collect data from the trading site disconnects from the trading site periodically for maybe 10 minutes every, and so when it does, the strategy indicator calculations used when validating against the collected data have to start all over due to gaps, and so potential trades are lost.
For the strategy I use the following indicators: SMA (Simple Moving Average), EMA (Exponential Moving Average), RSI (Relative Strength Index), Stochastic Oscillator, and Polynomial Regression Channel. forex-backtesting has an optimizer which tries hundreds of thousands of combinations of values for each of these indicators, combined, and saves the results to a MongoDB database. It can take days to run depending on how many configurations there are. Basically the strategy tries to detect price reversals and trade with those. So if it "thinks" the price is going to go down within the next five minutes, it places a 5 minutes PUT trade. The Polynomial Regression Channel indicator is the most important indicator; if the price deviates outside the upper or lower value for this indicator (and other indicators meet their criteria for the strategy), then a trade is initiated. The optimizer tries to find the best values for the upper and lower values (standard deviations from the middle regression line). Additionally, I think it might be best to enter trades at the 59th or 00th second of each minute. So I have used minute tick data for backtesting. Also, I apologize that some of the code is messy. I tried to keep it clean but ended up hacking some of it in desperation toward the end :) gulpfile.js is a good place to start as far as figuring out how to use the tools available. Look through the available tasks, and see how various "classes" are used ("classes" in quotes because ES5 doesn't have real class support). The best branches to look at are "k-fold" and "master", and "validation". One word of advice: never, ever create an account with Tradorax. They will call you every other day, provide very bad customer support, hang up the phone on you, and they will make it almost impossible to withdraw your money.
Hey all, I know that the "hedging in the US" question has been asked multiple times, but going through the search results on /forex I haven't found a satisfactory answer. Maybe there isn't one? My singular interest at the moment is to find a US-based broker (or, at least, one that explicitly accepts US traders and has a history of integrity) that permits back office hedging. I heard, in the wake of the regulations that made hedging in the US illegal, that back office solutions were available, but so far, asking around multiple brokers, I am told either that it is not supported by them or that there is some roundabout "hack" to get it working. I am currently running multiple MT4 EAs on the same currency pair, each targeting a different element in the price action... or I would be, if TradeKing had back office hedging. I was told by an Oanda rep that I could synthetically hedge by using multiple MT4 accounts all linked to my main account, but what I don't get is where the "don't worry, we'll deal with it in the back!" brokers are. I'd like my EAs to all run on the same account on the same instance of MT4, and completely ignorant that the others exist. Are there any US-based brokers using MT4 that support seamless, completely transparent back office hedging? I'll go with Oanda if such a thing does not exist, but of course, I'd rather do less grunt work rather than more.
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